Australia’s Middle East policy appears to be at a potential turning point regarding Palestinian statehood, as it faces increasing pressure from France and aligns with growing international calls for a two-state solution. French President Emmanuel Macron is leading this diplomatic offensive, arguing that recognizing Palestine is a “moral obligation” and a “political necessity” for regional stability, particularly with a UN-backed summit approaching.
The upcoming summit in New York, co-chaired by France and Saudi Arabia, from June 17 to 20, is fueling speculation that France may use the platform to formally recognize Palestine, thereby attempting to accelerate the stalled peace process. While 147 of the 193 UN member states already recognize Palestine, Australia, the UK, and the US have not. However, recent statements from Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong signal a departure from the traditional stance, suggesting that early recognition could be a catalyst for momentum.
The French Ministry of Foreign Affairs outlined its four key priorities for the summit, confirming ongoing discussions with Australia: recognition of a state of Palestine, normalization of regional relations, reform of the Palestinian Authority, and disarmament of Hamas. A French spokesperson emphasized Macron’s vision of this recognition contributing to a broader political dynamic, fostering both Palestinian state establishment and Israel’s enhanced regional and international integration, and specifically noted Australia’s “strong affinities” for the issue.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s recent strong condemnation of Israel’s blockade of aid into Gaza as an “outrage” further underscores a potential policy recalibration, aligning with international humanitarian concerns. This contrasts sharply with the Australian opposition’s view, which insists that Palestinian statehood can only be recognized once Hamas releases all hostages and surrenders its terrorist capabilities, warning against “rewarding terrorism.”